news 
This article discusses the concept of an “intelligence explosion” in the context of artificial intelligence (AI). An intelligence explosion is a hypothetical scenario where AI becomes self-aware and rapidly accelerates to achieve human-level or superhuman intelligence, leading to an exponential increase in its capabilities.
The author presents a timeline from 2025 to 2040, assuming that an intelligence explosion occurs around 2038-2039. According to this scenario:
* Years 2025-2038: AI makes gradual progress but does not yet reach AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) levels.
* Years 2038-2039: An intelligence explosion occurs, leading to a massive increase in AI’s capabilities and the attainment of AGI.
* Years 2039-2040: The article concludes that AGI has been reached.
The author emphasizes the controversy surrounding the concept of an intelligence explosion. There is no credible evidence to support this phenomenon, and some experts argue that it may not occur at all. Additionally, there are debates about the pace and initiation of such an event.
The author presents a timeline with three stages:
1. Before the intelligence explosion: AI makes significant improvements in areas such as multi-modal models, sensorimotor integration, and grounded language understanding.
2. Intelligence explosion: The article claims that this stage would result in an exponential increase in AI’s capabilities, leading to human-level or superhuman intelligence.
3. AGI attainment: The timeline concludes with the assumption that this intelligence explosion directly leads to AGI.
The author concludes by encouraging readers to consider their role in guiding where humanity goes if such a scenario were to occur and emphasizes the importance of ensuring that any resulting AI is imbued with good intentions.
It’s essential to note that an intelligence explosion, as presented here, is still purely speculative and has not been observed or proven.
Source: www.forbes.com
