
Bitcoin’s Volatility Hits 70%, Echoes 2023 Lows: Will History Repeat Itself?
A recent report suggests that Bitcoin’s quarterly Realized Volatility has dropped to a staggering 70%, mirroring the situation in September 2023 when the cryptocurrency’s price was trading at around $26,000. The current downshift in volatility is being seen as a precursor for the next major price move in the market.
Industry experts believe that the sudden drop in on-chain activity and valuation signals could be paving the way for a significant directional change. While some analysts are cautious about the prospects of another sharp correction, many others argue that such quiet phases often precede major trend reversals.
Bitcoin’s Realized Volatility has historically been used as an indicator to gauge market sentiment and predict future price movements. The current reading indicates that the cryptocurrency is entering a period of consolidation, which could either result in a continuation of the recent sideways trading or trigger a significant breakout.
The recent decline in on-chain activity, particularly transaction count and network growth, paints a mixed picture. While the data suggests that user participation and demand have softened, some experts believe that miner stress levels remain manageable for now, indicating that selling pressure is not yet at its peak.
Historically, low-volatility environments often lead to major price movements. This raises questions about whether history will repeat itself in this market cycle.
Source: ambcrypto.com